On 16 May 2020, the Bundesliga kicked off the Football behind closed doors.
A New Football came to life, and being able to respond quickly was pivotal to react to the mood swings of the betting market.
Recognizing trends early to find new ways to capitalize on Draws was crucial.
After collecting data and performing research, I came up with a System for Value Betting on football Behind Closed Doors.
More than one thousand games later, the system keeps returning a high yield.
Where do the results come from?
The results come from the Pinnacle’s closing odds.
You can bet on the most efficient odds from the sharpest bookmaker and still make a profit.
What are the real odds?
You will always know the real odds by the percentage of bets won (43% -> odds of 2.33) and also the average closing odds (2.99) to estimate the edge.
How many units of bankroll are needed to bet with this system?
You can use the Maximum DrawDown (-21.61 units) to set the units number well above it to value bet with a wide margin of safety. Since you could face a bad run of 21.61 units or more, it would be prudent to have an additional units number well above the Maximum Drawdown. Otherwise, you might miss the positive expected returns of the system due to an early exit from the investment and you would not have enough money to keep betting at the same pace without changing the staking plan.
How can you bet with this system?
Contact me to know the system’s features, with the odds range and the characteristics of the teams for identifying the games to bet on.
If you want to invest in my strategies, you are just a message away.
May your Bankroll grow,
in the name of Draw